Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.001905 0.002037 0.002175 0.002328 0.002495 0.002670 0.002870
2024-12-22 0.001703 0.001886 0.002085 0.002317 0.002580 0.002871 0.003218
2024-12-29 0.001549 0.001763 0.002001 0.002289 0.002628 0.003017 0.003498
2025-01-05 0.001436 0.001670 0.001939 0.002271 0.002675 0.003153 0.003766
2025-01-12 0.001331 0.001575 0.001862 0.002227 0.002681 0.003232 0.003961
2025-01-19 0.001254 0.001508 0.001813 0.002208 0.002711 0.003338 0.004189
2025-01-26 0.001154 0.001407 0.001714 0.002120 0.002647 0.003316 0.004246
2025-02-02 0.001132 0.001400 0.001732 0.002177 0.002769 0.003538 0.004634
2025-02-09 0.001104 0.001383 0.001734 0.002215 0.002864 0.003728 0.004988
2025-02-16 0.001103 0.001400 0.001780 0.002309 0.003040 0.004032 0.005517
2025-02-23 0.001064 0.001366 0.001756 0.002308 0.003083 0.004156 0.005795
2025-03-02 0.001005 0.001301 0.001689 0.002245 0.003035 0.004146 0.005875
2025-03-09 0.000958 0.001254 0.001648 0.002220 0.003050 0.004241 0.006137
2025-03-16 0.000921 0.001220 0.001623 0.002219 0.003099 0.004388 0.006491
2025-03-23 0.000880 0.001178 0.001585 0.002195 0.003113 0.004483 0.006771
2025-03-30 0.000844 0.001142 0.001553 0.002179 0.003136 0.004593 0.007080
2025-04-06 0.000804 0.001096 0.001506 0.002137 0.003117 0.004633 0.007275
2025-04-13 0.000773 0.001064 0.001476 0.002119 0.003132 0.004729 0.007570
2025-04-20 0.000725 0.001006 0.001405 0.002036 0.003040 0.004643 0.007544
2025-04-27 0.000720 0.001008 0.001424 0.002090 0.003171 0.004931 0.008196
2025-05-04 0.000709 0.001002 0.001431 0.002126 0.003272 0.005175 0.008788
2025-05-11 0.000713 0.001018 0.001470 0.002216 0.003467 0.005592 0.009736
2025-05-18 0.000694 0.000998 0.001454 0.002215 0.003509 0.005743 0.010192